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Market vehicle correlations, 20 year charts

The dollar, Stocks, Bonds and Gold Looking back over 20 years, and forward one, two or more I’m going to start this study as an absolute beginner.  Beginning strictly from a comparison of four 20 year charts: the dollar index (DX), 30 year treasury bonds (ZB), the...

EUR/USD macro bear flag

20 year chart On a 20 year time frame, the Euro relative to the USD is, by definition, a bear flag. It has broken through both the 50% and 61.8% retracements of the up move, which took 8 years to make, from 2000-2008. We can clearly see that the auction is being...
USD/JPY, fundamentals, and range auction theory

USD/JPY, fundamentals, and range auction theory

Swing trade idea in the currency pair About a month ago, I outlined a swing scale trade plan for the currency pair of the US dollar to the Japanese Yen. The idea was based first on technical charting premises, and secondarily on fundamental conditions. Japan has been...

The Investing and Trading Universe

One of my main motivations in trading is to build a “social hedge fund.” More about that later.  But in short, the idea is to help train people with financial need or ambition to trade.  And then connect those traders with ordinary investors. None of this...

Oil Bellwether

Oil, Nope To me, oil’s behavior today was pivotal.  A bellwether for up-coming months. It trended down all day, falling through key levels: 50% of the entire up move on a futures contract adjusted chart, and through the bottom of the down channel.  Most importantly,...
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